Izintengo zamamojula elanga zingakhuphuka kancane njengoba izindawo zokugcina izimpahla zaseYurophu zinciphisa inani lamasheya azo, kusho u-Leen van Bellen, imenenja yokuthuthukiswa kwebhizinisi i-Europe ye-Search4Solar, inkundla yokuthenga yamaDashi yemikhiqizo yelanga. Uyatshela pv umagazini ukuthi amamojula we-TOPCon maduze azodlula imikhiqizo yendabuko ye-PERC eYurophu.
Amamojula elanga okwamanje athengiswa e-Europe nge-€0.10 ($0.1085)/W ngemikhiqizo engeyona ingxenye-1 kanye ne-€0.115/W yamaphaneli e-tier-1, ngokusho kuka-Leen van Bellen, imenenja yokuthuthukiswa kwebhizinisi eYurophu ye-Search4Solar, inkundla yokuthenga esekwe eYurophu yamaphaneli elanga, ama-inverter nezixazululo zebhethri.
"Okwamanje sithola izicelo eziningi zokulethwa ngokushesha futhi manje sesincane kakhulu isitokwe e-Europe," esho pv umagazini, ephawula ukuthi imakethe yamamojula eYurophu okwamanje iyazuza kumphumela wokudonsa esikhundleni somphumela wokucindezela. "Amamojula athengiswa esitokweni saseYurophu noma avela ngqo eChina manje asethengiswa ngamanani amanani afanayo."
Uveze ukuthi kungenzeka ukusuka emazingeni esitoko ka-2023 futhi wabikezela ukushintsha kwesikhashana kuzinqubo ezakhelwe-kuya-oda (BTO).
"Kodwa-ke, ngilindele ukuthi ukuthengisa kuzosalela ngemuva ngenxa yokutholakala okuncane kwamaphaneli, okuholela ekutheni isitoko esiningi sithunyelwe eYurophu ngendlela elawulwa kakhulu," esho.
UVan Bellen waphawula ukuthi amaphaneli e-PERC asabala cishe u-75% wesidingo samaphaneli samanje e-Europe, namaphesenti asele amelwe kakhulu yimikhiqizo ye-TOPCon.
"Ngokusekelwe emikhubeni ebonwe ngo-2023, i-TOPCon isilungele ukukhula futhi kubonakala sengathi ubuchwepheshe beselula be-TOPCon buzodlula i-PERC evamile futhi bube ubuchwepheshe obusha obujwayelekile ngo-2024," esho. "Ikakhulukazi lapho ukukhiqizwa nesitoko semojula ye-PERC kuncipha futhi ama-wafers we-n-Type eshibhile ngokuhamba kwesikhathi, i-TOPCon izokhula kakhulu."
Uphawule ukuthi kwesinye isikhathi uzwa imibuzo mayelana ne-heterojunction (HJT) noma imikhiqizo yokuxhumana engemuva kwe-interdigitated (IBC).
"Lokhu akuliguquli iqiniso lokuthi siyawahlinzeka futhi amakhasimende ayazithenga, kodwa ngokuvamile hhayi ngenxa yezimpawu zangaphakathi zamamojula e-HJT noma e-IBC, kodwa ngenxa yokutholakala nenani," esho. Ngakho-ke, isabelo sabo semakethe sizokhula kancane kancane.
UVan Bellen uthe ulindele ukuthi kube nesikhala esitokweni sase-Europe kanye nokwenyuka kwentengo ngenxa yokusebenzisana kwezidingo kanye nezidingo.
"Abakhiqizi baqaphe kakhulu ngemuva kwekota yokugcina ka-2023 kanti abanye baqaphe kakhulu futhi bagcina izikhathi zokuhola zezinyanga ezimbili kuya kwezintathu," esho. "Lokhu kunomthelela omuhle kulabo abanesibindi sokugcina amasheya."
UVan Bellen ulindele ukuthi amanani emojula anyuke aze afike ku-5% ngenyanga ngokuzayo. “Lokhu kungase kwehluke kuye ngemikhiqizo nesigaba samandla,” engeza. “Futhi uma ikhasimende lingafuni ezinye izindlela, ukwenyuka kwentengo kusuka kumazinga amanje kungase kube ngama-20%.
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