Ucwaningo olusha oluvela eNorway luthole ukuthi ukuhambisa cishe i-140 GW yomthamo wokukhiqiza i-hydrogen eluhlaza ngo-2050 kungenza i-hydrogen eluhlaza isebenze kwezomnotho eYurophu. Ukufinyelela kulesi sikali kungase kusize izindleko zesistimu yokulinganisa ngempumelelo ngenkathi kwandisa ukuhlanganiswa okuvuselelekayo, okwenza i-hydrogen eluhlaza ibe ubuchwepheshe obuzimele ngaphandle kokuxhaswa, ngokusho kososayensi.
Isithombe: I-Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Applied Energy, Common License CC BY 4.0
Abacwaningi baseNorwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU) baye baphenya imiphumela yokufaka i-hydrogen eluhlaza ohlelweni lwamandla aseYurophu futhi bathole ukuthi ukuhambisa cishe i-140 GW yomthamo wokukhiqiza i-hydrogen eluhlaza ngo-2050 kungasiza ubuchwepheshe be-hydrogen ukuba busebenze ngokwezobuchwepheshe nangokwezomnotho.
"Ucwaningo lwethu lukhombisa ukuthi ukufinyelela cishe i-140 GW yomthamo we-hydrogen eluhlaza ngo-2050 kungenza i-hydrogen eluhlaza isebenze kwezomnotho eYurophu, kodwa akusho ukuthi amandla aphansi angayenza ingasebenzi ngokuphelele," kusho umlobi ohambisana nocwaningo, u-Mohammadreza Ahang, etshela. pv umagazini. "Esikhundleni salokho, igcizelela ukuthi ukufinyelela kulesi sikali kusiza ukulinganisa izindleko zesistimu futhi kwandise ukuhlanganiswa okuvuselelekayo, okwenza i-hydrogen eluhlaza ibe ubuchwepheshe obuziphilisa ngaphandle kokuxhaswa."
Ocwaningweni "Ukutshalwa kwezimali ku-hydrogen eluhlaza njengomthombo oguquguqukayo wesistimu yamandla yaseYurophu ngo-2050: Ingabe kuyakhokha?," eshicilelwe I-Applied Energy, U-Ahang kanye nozakwabo bachaza ukuthi ubusha bomsebenzi wabo bulele endleleni yayo ebanzi yokuhlola ukusebenza kahle kwezomnotho kanye nenani lamasu le-hydrogen eluhlaza njengomthombo oguquguqukayo ngaphakathi kohlelo lwamandla aseYurophu ngo-2050.
"Lolu cwaningo lusebenzisa i-European Model for Power System Investment nge-Renewable Energy (EMPIRE), imodeli yokwandisa umthamo we-stochastic ehlanganisa kokubili ukungaqiniseki kwesikhashana kanye nokuhlelwa kwesikhathi eside," kusho u-Ahang. "Ngokufaka ubuchwepheshe be-hydrogen njengengxenye yemodeli, ithwebula izici eziguquguqukayo nezingaqiniseki zamanani wamandla, okuthinta kakhulu ukuba nokwenzeka kwe-hydrogen eluhlaza."
I-EMPIRE iyimodeli yokwandisa umthamo womthombo ovulekile eklanywe yi-NTNUT ngokwayo ukuhlola ukutshalwa kwezimali kwamthamo osezingeni eliphezulu kanye nokusebenza kwesistimu e-Europe emikhathini yokuhlela yesikhathi esimaphakathi ukuya kweside, ngokuvamile esukela eminyakeni engama-40 kuye kwengama-50. Kuhlanganisa ukukhiqiza, ukugcinwa, nokunwetshwa kwamandla okudlulisela, futhi kuhloswe ngayo ukunciphisa izindleko zesistimu seziphelele.
Isithombe: I-Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Applied Energy, Common License CC BY 4.0
"Ngokungafani nezifundo zangaphambilini ezigxile kakhulu ezindleko ze-hydrogen nokusebenza kokuguqulwa, lolu cwaningo luhlola indima ye-hydrogen eluhlaza ekuthuthukiseni ukuguquguquka kwesistimu yamandla yaseYurophu," u-Ahang wachaza ngokuqhubekayo. "Ucwaningo lwethu luphenya ukuthi i-hydrogen eluhlaza inganciphisa kanjani ukuncishiswa kwamandla avuselelekayo futhi ikhulise ukuguquguquka kwesikhashana komkhakha wamandla, ikakhulukazi kumongo wemithombo yamandla avuselelekayo ashintshashintshayo njengomoya namandla elanga."
Ababhali bahlaziye izimo ezihlukahlukene zokuhlanganiswa kwe-hydrogen, nesidingo se-hydrogen sangaphandle nangaphandle, abathi bavumela ukuqonda okujulile kokuthi ukufunwa kwe-hydrogen kwezinye izimakethe kuthinta kanjani ukusebenza kwayo kwezomnotho ngaphakathi kwesistimu yamandla.
Ekubumbeni kwabo, ososayensi bacabanga ukuthi iYurophu ifinyelela uhlelo lwamandla angathathi hlangothi ngesikhathi se-2050-2060 futhi icubungula izimo ezimbili ze-hydrogen: Icala le-no-hydrogen, lapho i-hydrogen ingakwazi ukuncintisana nobunye ubuchwepheshe ukuze inikeze ukuguquguquka kwesistimu; kanye nekesi le-hydrogen, lapho amandla e-hydrogen anwetshwa ngenkathi kunciphisa izindleko eziphelele zesistimu. I-Capex, i-Opex, amajika okufunda, kanye nesidingo kwahlolwa kusetshenziswa i- openENTRANCE inkundla yokumodela.
Ososayensi baphinde benza ukuhlolwa kwentengo ye-hydrogen yesikhathi eside futhi balinganisela isilinganiso sentengo ye-hydrogen eluhlaza yesikhathi eside ku-€30 ($32)/MWh. Baphinde bachaza ukuthi le ntengo kulindeleke ukuthi iqale ku-€30/MWh phakathi no-2025–2030 futhi kancane kancane inyuke iye ku-€70/MWh ngo-2050–2055.
"Leli phuzu lentengo libalulekile, njengoba limelela iphuzu lokuphumula lokuqalisa ukutshalwa kwezimali kubuchwepheshe be-electrolyzer, ingxenye ebalulekile ekukhiqizeni i-hydrogen eluhlaza," amanothi ephepha. "Isidingo esivela ezimakethe ze-hydrogen sithethelela ukutshalwa kwezimali ekukhiqizweni kwe-hydrogen eluhlaza ngemuva kuka-2040."
Ucwaningo luhlonze iJalimane, iFrance, i-UK, i-Italy, iSpain, neNorway njengamazwe anamandla okuthuthukiswa kwe-hydrogen eluhlaza. "Imiklamo yethu yomsebenzi ukuthi imikhakha eminingana ebalulekile, okuhlanganisa ezokuthutha, imboni, indawo yokuhlala, namandla, izokwandisa isidingo se-hydrogen ngo-2050. Esimweni seBusiness-As-Usual (BAU), isidingo se-hydrogen emkhakheni wamandla singafinyelela ku-43 TWh ngo-2050," kuphetha u-Ahang.
Lokhu okuqukethwe kuvikelwe yi-copyright futhi akumele kuphinde kusetshenziswe. Uma ufuna ukubambisana nathi futhi ungathanda ukuphinda usebenzise okunye okuqukethwe kwethu, sicela uthinte: editors@pv-magazine.com.
Umthombo ovela pv umagazini
Umshwana wokuzihlangula: Ulwazi olubekwe ngenhla lunikezwa i-pv-magazine.com ngaphandle kwe-Cooig.com. I-Cooig.com ayenzi izethulo namawaranti mayelana nekhwalithi nokuthembeka komdayisi nemikhiqizo. I-Cooig.com iyazilahla ngokusobala noma yisiphi isibopho sokwephulwa kwelungelo lobunikazi lokuqukethwe.
