Cishe u-392 GW wama-photovoltaics azokwengezwa ngo-2023. Lokhu kungumthamo omkhulu kunawo wonke amafektri aphehla amandla enuzi emhlabeni wonke asebenza ngo-2022, okwakungu-371 GW ngokuhlangene.
Ukwandiswa komhlaba wonke kwama-photovoltaics kuyamangaza. Siphakathi koguquko lwezobuchwepheshe zamandla ezinemithelela emikhulu yezomnotho nemvelo. Ngakho-ke, singakanani isilinganiso esibhekene naso manje nasesikhathini esizayo esiseduze?
Lena ibhulogi ezingxenyeni ezimbili: Ingxenye yokuqala, oyifundayo namuhla, ihlaziya okwamanje. Owesibili ubheka ikusasa.
Ngokusho kokuqagela kwe-BloombergNEF, I-392 GW ye-photovoltaics izokwengezwa ngo-2023. Lokhu kungumthamo omkhulu ukudlula zonke izizinda zamandla enuzi emhlabeni wonke ezazisebenza ngo-2022, okwakungu-371 GW ngokuhlangene.
Kukhona cishe amayunithi ayi-1,000 aphakathi nendawo yokuphehla ugesi ngamalahle. Isilinganiso somhlaba wonke singama-375 MW iyunithi ngayinye. Umthelela walezi zikhungo zikagesi ekuguquguqukeni kwesimo sezulu ungavele ucatshangelwe. Kubalulekile ukuqaphela ukuthi ukuqhathanisa kunephutha ngenxa yamahora ahlukene omthwalo ogcwele, kodwa ngaphezulu kwalokho kamuva.
Yize lezi zibalo zihlaba umxhwele, zingamafuphi nje. Cishe kuzoba nezibalo zokufakwa kwe-1,000 GW ngonyaka - okusho ukuthi i-TW engu-1 ngonyaka - ngaphambi kokuphela kwale minyaka eyishumi, kanye nama-TW amaningana ngonyaka afakwe eshumini leminyaka elizayo. Yilokho ingxenye yesibili yale bhulogi ezoba ngayo.
Ingxenye I ye-Photovoltaics-Energy Revolution - Isimo Sesikhashana sango-2023
Ngo-1998, i-57 MW yomthamo we-photovoltaic yafakwa emhlabeni jikelele. Namuhla, lokho kuhambisana nokukhishwa kwepaki yelanga eliphakathi nendawo. Cishe ku-390 GW, ukwengezwa kwamandla onyaka kukhule ngokuphindwe kazinkulungwane eziyisikhombisa kusukela lapho. Amandla we-photovoltaics akhule ngevolumu emhlabeni jikelele. Ngakho-ke singakhuluma ngokufanelekile ngama-photovoltaics amandla.
Cishe i-390 GW ngonyaka ihambisana ne-a Ukwengezwa kwe-photovoltaic engaphezu kwe-GW eyodwa nsuku zonke. Ngokuqhathanisa, i-2004 yayiwunyaka wokuqala lapho ngaphezu kwe-1 GW ye-photovoltaic umthamo wengezwe. Ngo-2010 lo mqulu wengezwe esikhathini esingaphansi kwenyanga kanti ngo-2015 wawungaphansi kwamasonto onke.
| 2004 | 1 gigawatt/ngonyaka |
| 2010 | 1 gigawatt/ngenyanga |
| 2015 | 1 gigawatt/ngeviki |
| 2023 | 1 gigawatt/ngosuku |
Ubukhulu be-solar photovoltaics sebuvele bukhulu. Ithebula elingenhla libonisa amandla e-photovoltaic afakiwe kulo nyaka makhulu kunomthamo wesikhungo samandla enuzi esiphelele. Leyo methrikhi ilingana cishe ne-avareji eyi-1,000 yamayunithi okuphehla ugesi ngamalahle.
Kodwa kubukeka kanjani uma siqhathanisa isizukulwane esikhundleni sokuphuma?
Imboni ye-photovoltaic yaziwa ngokuba namahora omthwalo agcwele aphansi kakhulu kunemishini ephehlwa ngamalahle - futhi ikakhulukazi amandla enuzi. Ezifundweni zamazwe ngamazwe ezingamaphesenti angu-100, inani lamahora okulayisha agcwele ezitshalweni ze-photovoltaic lilinganiselwa ku-1570.
Umthamo we-photovoltaic ongu-390 GW ozokwengezwa ngo-2023 uzokhiqiza ugesi ongalingana nezimboni zamandla zenuzi ezingaba ngu-77 zesigaba samamegawathi ayi-1000. Izophinde ikhiqize cishe 370 amandla angu-375 MW amayunithi okuphehla ugesi ngamalahle, kucatshangelwa amahora aphansi okulayisha okugcwele.
I-GW eyodwa ngosuku ilingana namandla okukhiqiza amandla angu-1,000 MW ajwayelekile isikhungo samandla enuzi. Iphinde ilingane nezindawo zokuphehla amandla kagesi amalahle amabili nesigamu, kanti isilinganiso somhlaba wonke singama-375 MW iyunithi ngayinye.
Ngakho-ke, kulo nyaka, amandla amasha elanga azokwengezwa njengoba iyunithi yokuphehla ugesi ngamalahle ikhiqiza - kanye nokukhiqizwa kwamandla esizinda samandla enuzi njalo ezinsukwini ezimbalwa.
Ngonyaka ozayo kuzofakwa okuningi nsuku zonke, futhi ngo-2025 nakakhulu. Lawo manani azokwengezwa phezu kuka-2023 afakiwe.
Isiphetho
Ukwandiswa kwama-photovoltaics sekufinyelele esikalini esishintsha imboni yamandla. Ngokwemvelo, kunomthelela ekusetshenzisweni kwamafutha ezinto ezimbiwa phansi. I-Photovoltaics isivele iwubuchwepheshe obubalulekile bokuvikela isimo sezulu obunamandla amakhulu.
Sizobe sesibona ukuthi lokhu okunamandla kufana nani engxenyeni yesibili yebhulogi, ezohlola nokuthi amandla elanga angasetshenziswa kanjani ebusuku.
Umbhali u-Carsten Pfeiffer uyiNhloko Yesu Nenqubomgomo e-German Federation bne. Ubengomunye wababhali bomthetho wokuqala waseJalimane Amandla Avuselelekayo ngo-2000 futhi uyilungu elisungula i-PV Think Tank.
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