I-PV InfoLink ithi isidingo selanga saseShayina sizofinyelela phakathi kuka-240 GW no-260 GW kulo nyaka, kanti isidingo saseYurophu sizofinyelela ku-77 GW kuya ku-85 GW.
Njengoba ukuguquka kwamandla omhlaba kuthuthuka, i-PV InfoLink iphrojekthi yesidingo selanga ukuze sifinyelele ku-469–533 GW ngo-2024. Nokho, izimakethe ezibalulekile - i-China, i-United States, i-Europe, ne-India - ziphonselwa inselelo ukungalingani kwezidingo zokuhlinzeka, ukushintsha kwenqubomgomo, nokuntengantenga kwezomnotho okungase kumise kabusha isidingo sokufakwa futhi kulinganise ukukhula ngemva kuka-2025.
Ngenkathi ukufakwa kukhuphuka, ukubuyekezwa kwegridi ebalulekile kuyabambezeleka, futhi amanani enzalo akhuphukayo kanye nokungazinzi kwe-supply chain kucindezela ukubuyisela.
Umkhakha omkhulu we-solar wase-China ubhekene nokubambezeleka okuvela ekwandiseni igridi kancane kancane e-Inner Mongolia kanye nezidingo zesitoreji ezithinta imbuyiselo kumaphrojekthi asabalalisiwe. Isidingo selanga laseShayina kulindeleke ukuthi sibambe ku-240 GW kuya ku-260 GW ngo-2024, nokukhuphuka kancane kuya ku-245 GW kuya ku-265 GW ngo-2025.
Umthetho we-Net Zero Industry Act wase-Europe kanye no-Critical Raw Materials Act uhlose ukukhulisa ubuchwepheshe bendawo obuluhlaza kodwa ungase ukhuphule izindleko zephrojekthi, kuyilapho ukulawulwa Okuphoqelelwe Kwabasebenzi kungase kubangele uphenyo lwe-EU kubahlinzeki baseShayina ngo-2027. Ubunzima bomnotho kanye nomthamo wegridi olinganiselwe kuyaqhubeka nokuthinta imakethe yelanga yaseYurophu, ebikezelwe ku-77 GW85 kuya ku-2024 GW kuya ku-85 okungase kube ku-GW kuya ku-93. 2025 GW ngo-XNUMX.
Imakethe yelanga yase-US ibhekene nokukhuphuka kwentela kumaseli angenisiwe kanye nemisebenzi ephikisana nokulahla kubahlinzeki baseNingizimu-mpumalanga Asia. Onjiniyela bahlala beqaphile ngenxa yamazinga enzalo aphezulu, ukungaqiniseki kwenqubomgomo, kanye nezimvume ezihamba kancane, inqubomgomo yase-California ye-NEM 3.0 nayo ilimaza ukubuyiselwa kwesola okusabalalisiwe. Isidingo selanga sase-US ngo-2025 silinganiselwa phakathi kwama-38 GW nama-44 GW.
"Njengoba iNdlu elawulwa yiRiphabhulikhi iphikisana ngokuphindaphindiwe ne-Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), uxhaso lwamandla avuselelekayo ngaphansi kwe-IRA kwandisa ukungaqiniseki uma kuqokwa uTrump," kusho uJenny Lin, ongumcwaningi we-PV kwa-InfoLink, etshela. pv umagazini.
I-India, enye yezimakethe ezinhlanu ezihamba phambili emhlabeni jikelele, ithembele kumaphrojekthi kahulumeni ukuze ihlangabezane nezinhloso zayo zokufaka amandla elanga zika-2026. Imizamo kahulumeni ingakhuphula isidingo sika-2025 siye ku-25 GW kuya ku-35 GW, okumelela ukukhula okungama-25% kuya ku-40%. Uhlu Olugunyaziwe Lwamamodeli Nabakhiqizi (i-ALMM) luzodinga amamojula endawo amaphrojekthi kahulumeni ngo-2026. Izintela zokungenisa ezingu-25% kumaseli aseShayina zisekhona, kanti ukukhiqizwa kwasekhaya okulindeleke ukuthi kancane kancane kuthathe indawo yokuthengiswa kwe-China njengoba umthamo ukhula.
Izimakethe zesolar zomhlaba zikhombisa ukuguquguquka kwezidingo eziyinkimbinkimbi, namanani emojula asondela ekwehleni okungokomlando. Ukukhula kwesikhathi esizayo kuncike kumthamo wokufaka kanye nokwesekwa kwenqubomgomo. Izimakethe ezisafufusa njengeBrazil, iNingizimu Afrika, iMpumalanga Ephakathi, kanye neNingizimu-mpumalanga ye-Asia zibona isidingo esikhulayo, kuyilapho amazwe anjengeSaudi Arabia, i-United Arab Emirates, i-Oman, iThailand, iMalaysia, neVietnam esebenzisa izinqubomgomo ezisekelayo. E-Afrika, amaphrojekthi amakhulu ayaqhubeka naphezu kwezinselelo zengqalasizinda kanye negridi ezinganciphisa ukufakwa ngo-2025.
Nakuba ukukhula komhlaba kungase kwehle ngemva kuka-2025, izimakethe ezisafufusa zinikeza umfutho obalulekile, zisekela intuthuko ezinzile embonini yelanga emhlabeni wonke.
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