Kwiveki yesithathu ka-Okthobha, amaxabiso emarike yombane yaseYurophu azinzile, kunye nokunyuka okuphezulu kwiimeko ezininzi xa kuthelekiswa neveki edlulileyo. Nangona kunjalo, kwimarike ye-MIBEL, amaxabiso ehla ngenxa yokuveliswa kwamandla omoya ophezulu, ofikelele kwirekhodi yonke ixesha ePortugal kunye nexabiso eliphezulu kakhulu ngoku ngo-2023 eSpain.
I-photovoltaic yelanga, i-solar thermoelectric kunye nemveliso yamandla omoya
Kwiveki ye-16 ka-Okthobha, ukuveliswa kwamandla elanga zehlile kuzo zonke iimarike ezinkulu zaseYurophu xa kuthelekiswa neveki ephelileyo. Ukuncipha okukhulu - i-42% kunye ne-41% - ibhaliswe kwi-Peninsula yase-Iberia kunye ne-Italy, ngokulandelanayo. Ukuhla okuncinci kubhaliswe kwimarike yaseJamani kwi-11%.
Ngeveki ka-Oktobha 23, ngokutsho I-AleaSoft Energy Forecasting's uqikelelo lwemveliso yamandla elanga, imveliso yamandla elanga kulindeleke ukuba yande kuzo zonke iimarike ezihlalutyiweyo xa kuthelekiswa neveki ephelileyo.
Iveki ye-16 kaOkthobha izise ukonyuka kweveki ngeveki imveliso yamandla omoya kwiimarike ezinkulu zaseYurophu. Iimarike zePutukezi kunye neSpanishi zezona zibalaseleyo, ngokunyuka kwe-294% kunye ne-272%, ngokulandelanayo. Ukongezelela, ngoLwesibini, ngo-Oktobha 17, imarike yesiPutukezi yaphula irekhodi layo yonke imihla kunye nokuveliswa kwamandla omoya wemihla ngemihla ye-108 GWh. Ngeveki enye, ngoLwesihlanu, ngo-Oct. 20, amandla omoya avelise i-420 GWh kwimarike yaseSpain - ixabiso eliphezulu ukususela ngoDisemba 2021. Imarike yaseJamani yayikuphela kwecandelo apho imveliso yamandla omoya yehla kwaye yayiyi-14% phantsi xa kuthelekiswa neveki edlulileyo.
I-AleaSoft Energy ForecastingUqikelelo lwemveliso yamandla omoya lubonisa ukuba amanqanaba azokwehla kuzo zonke iimarike ezihlalutyiweyo ngaphandle kwe-Italiya kwiveki ye-23 ka-Okthobha.
Imfuno yombane
Ngeveki ye-16 kaOktobha, imfuno yombane kunyukile kwiimarike ezinkulu zaseYurophu xa kuthelekiswa neveki ephelileyo. Ukunyuka kwe-0.7% kwiimarike zaseDatshi ukuya kwi-6.4% kwiimarike zaseBrithani. Nangona kunjalo, imfuno yehla kwiimarike ezimbini zaseMazantsi Yurophu. EPortugal, imfuno yehla nge-2.2% kwaye, e-Italy, nge-1.1%.
Ngexesha elifanayo, amaqondo obushushu aphakathi yehla kuzo zonke iimarike ezihlalutyiweyo. Ukuncipha okukhulu, i-5.6 C, yabhaliswa eJamani. Ngokwahlukileyo koko, iSpain kunye ne-Italiya zibhalise elona qondo lincinci lehla lobushushu, nganye nge-2.3 C.
Imfuno kulindeleke ukuba inyuke ePortugal, eItali, eGreat Britain naseNetherlands kwaye iyancipha eSpain, eJamani naseBelgium ngeveki ka-Oktobha 23. EFransi, imfuno kulindeleke ukuba ihlale ifana.
Iimarike zombane zaseYurophu
Ngeveki ye-16 ka-Oktobha, amaxabiso kwiimarike eziphambili zombane zaseYurophu zahlala zizinzile ngokubanzi, kunye nomgangatho othile wokunyuka xa kuthelekiswa neveki edlulileyo kwiimeko ezininzi. Nangona kunjalo, kwi Imarike ye-MIBEL yaseSpain nasePortugal, amaxabiso ehle nge-37% kunye ne-38%, ngokulandelanayo. Kwi Imarike ye-EPEX SPOT yaseFransi, ukuhla okuncinci kwe-1.2% nako kwabhaliswa. Kwelinye icala, ipesenti enkulu yokunyuka kwexabiso, i-141%, yafikelelwa kwi- Imarike yaseNord Pool yamazwe Nordic, ngelixa ukwanda encinane, 2.7%, yabhaliswa kwi IPEX imakethi eItali. Kwiimarike ezishiyekileyo, amaxabiso anyuke phakathi kwe-3.7% kwi EPEX SPOT market of Belgium kunye 21% kwi EPEX SPOT imarike yaseJamani.
Ngeveki yesithathu ka-Oktobha, i-avareji yeveki yayingaphantsi kwe-€ 95 ($ 101.4) / MWh kwiimarike ezininzi zombane zaseYurophu ezihlalutyiweyo. Izinto ezingaphandle yayizimarike zaseBrithani kunye ne-Italian, apho amaxabiso ayeyi-€ 103.08 / MWh kunye ne-€149.23 / MWh, ngokulandelanayo. Ngokwahlukileyo, ixabiso eliphantsi eliphantsi, i-€ 22.29 / MWh, yafikelelwa kwimarike yaseNordic. Kwezinye iimarike ezihlalutyiweyo, amaxabiso avela kwi-77.98 / MWh kwimarike yesiPutukezi ukuya kwi-94.45 / MWh kwimarike yaseJamani.
Ngomhla we-16 ku-Okthobha, amaxabiso aphezulu ngeyure ngeveki abhalisiwe kwiimarike zombane zaseYurophu ezininzi ezihlalutyiweyo. Ngaloo mini, ixabiso legesi ye-TTF kwimarike yendawo yayiphezulu kwiveki yesithathu ka-Oktobha, idlula i-50 / MWh. Ixabiso le-240.00 / MWh lifikeleleke kwiimarike zaseJamani, eBelgium, eFransi, eItali naseDatshi ukusuka kwi-19: 00 ukuya kwi-20: 00. Eli xabiso laliphezulu ukususela ngo-Agasti 24 kwiimarike zaseFransi naseItali. Elona xabiso liphezulu ukusukela ngoJanuwari labhalwa kwi Imarike ye-N2EX yaseUnited Kingdom, ngo-Oct. 16, ukususela ngo-19:00 ukuya ku-20:00, kwaye yayiyi-£241.19/MWh. Ngelo xesha ngosuku olufanayo, ixabiso eliphezulu ukususela ngoJanuwari libhaliswe kwimarike yaseSpain, eyayiyi-€ 220.00 / MWh.
Amaxabiso encopho ayengekho phezulu kwiimarike zesiPhuthukezi nezaseNordic. Amaxabiso aphezulu afunyenwe ngoMvulo, ngo-Oktobha 23. Kwimarike yesiPutukezi, ixabiso le-215.02 / MWh libhaliswe ukusuka kwi-20: 00 ukuya kwi-21: 00 - ixabiso eliphezulu ukususela ekupheleni kukaJanuwari. Kwiimarike zeNordic, ukusuka kwi-8: 00 ukuya kwi-9: 00, ixabiso le-87.66 / MWh lifikelelwe, ixabiso eliphezulu ukususela ekupheleni kukaJuni kule marike.
Ngeveki ye-16 ka-Oktobha, ukunyuka kwexabiso eliphakathi kwegesi, ukunyuka kweemfuno kwiimarike ezininzi kunye nokwehla ngokubanzi kwimveliso yamandla elanga kubangele amaxabiso aphezulu kwiimarike zombane zaseYurophu. Imveliso yamandla omoya yawa kwimarike yaseJamani, inegalelo ekunyukeni kwexabiso kule marike. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, imveliso kunye nale teknoloji yanda kakhulu kwi-Peninsula yase-Iberia naseFransi, ekhokelela kumaxabiso aphantsi kwi-MIBEL kunye neemarike zaseFransi.
I-AleaSoft Energy ForecastingUqikelelo lwamaxabiso lubonisa ukuba kwiveki yesine ka-Oktobha amaxabiso kwiimarike zombane ezihlalutyiweyo ezininzi zaseYurophu zinokunyuka. Oku kunokuphenjelelwa yimveliso yamandla omoya asezantsi kunye nemfuno ephezulu kwiimarike ezininzi.
Brent, amafutha kunye CO2
Kwiveki yesithathu ka-Oktobha, Ioli yeBrent ikamva leNyanga ePhambili kwi Imarike ye-ICE babhalisa ixabiso labo lokuhlalisa ubuncinci beveki, i-$ 89.65 / bbl, ngoMvulo, ngo-Oktobha 16. Eli xabiso laliyi-1.7% ephezulu kunoMvulo odlulileyo. Emva koko, amaxabiso anyukile kwaye ngoLwesithathu amaxabiso okuhlalisa adlula i-90/bbl. Ixabiso eliphezulu lokuhlalisa ngeveki, i-$ 92.38 / bbl, lifike ngoLwesine, ngo-Oktobha 19. Eli xabiso laliyi-7.4% ephezulu kuneLwesine yangaphambili.
Ekuqaleni kweveki yesithathu ka-Okthobha, iindaba zokuphakanyiswa kwesohlwayo kwi-oyile yaseVenezuela kwenze amaxabiso e-oyile ye-Brent aphantsi. Kodwa iinkxalabo malunga nokuphazamiseka kokubonelela okunokwenzeka okunxulumene nokungazinzi kuMbindi Mpuma kuqhubekile ukuba nempembelelo ephezulu kumaxabiso.
Ngokuphathelele amaxabiso okuhlawula TTF igesi ikamva kwimarike ye-ICE yeNyanga ePhambili, ngoMvulo, nge-16 ka-Okthobha, elona xabiso liphantsi lolungiso lweveki, €48.47/MWh, lafikelelwa. Kodwa eli xabiso laliphezulu nge-10% kunoMvulo odlulileyo. Ngenxa yoko, amaxabiso anyuka. Ixabiso leeveki zokuhlalisa ubuninzi beveki, i-51.11 / MWh, yafikelelwa ngoLwesihlanu, ngo-Oct. 20. Nangona kunjalo, eli xabiso laliphantsi kwe-5.3% kunelo loLwesihlanu odlulileyo, olona luphezulu ukususela phakathi noFebruwari.
Kwiveki yesithathu ka-Okthobha, iinkxalabo zokubonelela ezinxulumene nokungazinzi kuMbindi Mpuma ziqhubekile, okubangela ukuba amaxabiso okuhlalisa la makamva ahlale ngaphezulu kwe-48/MWh. Nangona kunjalo, uqikelelo lwamaqondo obushushu athambileyo, unikezelo oluninzi kunye namanqanaba aphezulu amasheya aseYurophu avumele amaxabiso okuhlalisa ukuba ahlale ngaphantsi kwexabiso eliphezulu elifikelelwe kwiveki ephelileyo.
Ngokuphathelele amaxabiso okuhlawula CO2 amalungelo okukhutshwa kwixesha elizayo kwi Imarike ye-EEX kwimvumelwano yereferensi kaDisemba 2023, kwiveki yesithathu ka-Okthobha, babhalise ukuhla. Ixabiso leentlawulo eziphezulu zeveki, i-83.35 / t, yafikelelwa ngoMvulo, ngo-Oktobha 16, kwaye yayiyi-2.0% ephezulu kunoMvulo odlulileyo. Nangona kunjalo, ngenxa yokuncipha okubhalisiweyo ngeveki, ixabiso elincinci leveki lokuhlalisa i-81.41 / t, libhaliswe ngoLwesihlanu, ngo-Oktobha 20. Eli xabiso laliphantsi kwe-5.3% kunosuku olufanayo lweveki edlulileyo.
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