Ukuphazamiseka kwekhonkco lokubonelela kuyaqhubeka kukhathaza abaphathi beshishini, iinkokeli zopolitiko kunye nabathengi kwihlabathi liphela. Ngelixa abaninzi babenethemba lokuba ukuhamba kwempahla kwihlabathi kuya kuphucuka kakhulu njengoko ubhubhani usiya usiba, ezinye izinto ziye zangenelela kubandakanya ukuvalwa ngokutsha okutshixwayo, ukungavisisani kwezopolitiko, kunye neenkxalabo zozinzo.
IForam ka-Oliver Wyman ibize iinkokheli eziphezulu kulo lonke ishishini lempahla, icandelo lamazibuko, kunye noluhlu lwamaziko emali e-Asia Pacific nase-United States ukuze kuxoxwe ngokulandelayo kwikhonkco lonikezelo lwehlabathi. Incoko yagxininisa ukuntsonkotha kwengxaki kunye nesidingo senkqubela phambili kwiindawo ezininzi, hayi nakuphi na ukulungisa okukhawulezileyo. Sithathe iingcinga zethu zobuqu kwaye sachitha olunye uphando lwethu lwamva nje kwezi ngongoma zilandelayo:
I-COVID yayiyeyona nto ibangela ukuba kodwa kude neyona nobangela wokuphazamiseka kwekhonkco lonikezelo. Ukuvalwa kwezixeko zaseTshayina ngo-2020 kuye kwaminxa ukuhamba kwempahla okwexeshana kwaye kwashiya iinqanawa ezininzi kunye nezikhongozeli zixinene. Kodwa ubhubhane ukwabhentsise inkitha yobunye ubuthathaka obuye bayenza mandundu le ngxaki kwaye inokulibazisa isisombululo sayo. Iminyaka engamashumi amane yokuthengisa ngaphandle, ukukhutshwa, kunye nokuqonda ngaphezulu kweendleko kuvelise ukusebenza kakuhle, kodwa kushiyeke amatyathanga obonelelo ande kakhulu kwaye anobuthathaka. Amazibuko aguga kunye neziseko zothutho, imithetho ethintela umsebenzi, kunye nokungabikho esizisebenzelayo ziphazamisa iinzame zase-US zokubuyisela ukuhamba kwempahla eyaneleyo ukuhlangabezana nemfuno ephakamileyo yanamhlanje. Kwaye ukuxhatshazwa okuqhubekayo kwezorhwebo kunye neerhafu phakathi kweWashington neBeijing, ngokukodwa malunga ne-semiconductors, kuchaphazela ukufumaneka kunye nexabiso lempahla.
Iinkampani ziphendula ngokusuka kwingqondo "ngexesha nje" ukuya "kwimeko nje;" Ukomelela, hayi ukusebenza kakuhle, lilizwi lokulinda. Oku kunokunciphisa umngcipheko kodwa kusenokongeza kuxinzelelo lokunyuka kwamaxabiso, ngakumbi njengoko ukunyuka kwamazinga enzala kukwenza kubize kakhulu ukuxhasa ngemali uluhlu lwempahla oluphezulu. Besisoloko sibona ukunyuka kokusondela okanye ukuthengisa abahlobo-ukukhangela iimpahla kumazwe anobuhlobo akufutshane noMntla Merika kunye neemarike zaseYurophu - iminyaka eliqela. Kodwa kuthatha ixesha ukuba olu tshintsho longezelekileyo lwenze impembelelo enkulu. Ukuthunyelwa ngaphandle kweTshayina e-United States kuxhume phantse i-17% kulo nyaka uphelileyo. Ukubuyisela kwakhona, okanye ukubuyisela imveliso e-US nakwezinye iimarike, ukuza kuthi ga ngoku ubukhulu becala bubuciko; Uvavanyo oluphambili luya kuba ukuba i-United States iyaphumelela ekwakheni kwakhona imveliso ye-semiconductor yasekhaya.
I-China ayisayi kutshintshwa njengendawo yemveliso yehlabathi nangaliphi na ixesha kungekudala. Ukuvelisa e-China e-China kuhlala kuyi-mantra kwiifemu zangaphandle ngokunikwa isikali semarike yaseTshayina. I-European Chamber of Commerce kwi-survey yase-China ibonise inani elikhulayo leefemu ezifuna ukutyala imali eninzi, hayi ngaphantsi, kweli lizwe. Iinkampani ezininzi zangaphandle ziqhuba iR&D eTshayina kwaye kamva zithumela izinto ezintsha kwiimarike zasekhaya. Imveliso isaya kufuduka kumda, ngakumbi kwicandelo lempahla yabathengi. Amashishini anobuchule, afana namayeza okanye i-semiconductors, nawo aphantsi koxinzelelo lokuhamba. Kodwa kwamanye amacandelo afuna imali eninzi kakhulu, kuya kuthatha iminyaka, ukuba ayingomashumi eminyaka, ukuba iindawo ezinkulu zekhonkco lokunikezela zifudukele-- akukho nto ithatha indawo yeTshayina.
Ukuveliswa okutsha okuvula amandla edatha kunye nokufakwa kwidijithali kunokunciphisa kakhulu uxinzelelo lokubonelela, kodwa oko kuya kufuna ukoyisa umdla okhoyo. Iinkampani zinedatha eninzi kwiimfuno zabathengi babo kunye nezinto abazikhethayo kodwa ziyasokola ukuyityhala nzulu kumakhonkco abo okubonelela. Sifuna bonke abathathi-nxaxheba kwi-ecosystem ukuba basebenzisane ukuze siqhubele phambili, kodwa akukho lula oko. Ukuzenzekela kunye nobukrelekrele bokwenziwa kunokunika imveliso enkulu kumazibuko ase-US, okwangoku, kodwa iimanyano ezimele uninzi lwabasebenzi basedokhini zithintela ukwaziswa okuxhaphakileyo kwezo zixhobo zobugcisa. Iinkampani kunye nabaqulunqi bomgaqo-nkqubo kufuneka bafumanise indlela yokwenza onke amaqela akwimixokelelwane yokubonelela abone inzuzo yentsebenziswano esondeleyo kunye nokusebenza kakuhle.
Ukuveliswa kwedatha kwakhona kunika ithuba kwizemali zorhwebo. Urhwebo oluninzi lwempahla lusaqhubeka luxhaswa ngemali ngeeleta zetyala ezixhaswa ngamaxwebhu angamaphepha. Kunzima ukufumana abasemagunyeni kunye namakhonkco obonelelo amade ukuze baphucule imisebenzi yabo ngendlela elungelelanisiweyo. Urhulumente wase-UK uhambela ngokusemthethweni amaxwebhu okurhweba ngedijithali, kunye nentsebenziswano ekhulayo phakathi kwe-UK kunye neSingapore inokukhokelela kutshintsho olubanzi. Uninzi lweenkampani zase-US kunye naseYurophu zijonge enye imithombo yokuhlawula amatyala ukuxhasa ngezimali uluhlu lweempahla ezinkulu, zibonakalisa ithuba le-fintechs.
Imfuno ekhulayo yozinzo iya kuqhuba inguqu enentsingiselo kumakhonkco obonelelo ngempahla kwixesha eliphakathi. Iinkampani ziya kufuna idatha engcono yababoneleli babo ukulinganisa kunye nokunciphisa i-Scope 3 ekhutshwa yi-greenhouse gas. Imixokelelwane yobonelelo olulungelelanisiweyo olususa ukuthunyelwa ngokungeyomfuneko kuya kunceda nako. Kwiinkampani ezininzi ezinkulu, isisombululo sale mingeni siya kulala kubudlelwane obunzulu kunye neqela eliphambili le ababoneleli enokubonelela ngokubonakala okukhulu, ukuhlukahluka kunye nokomelela.
Umthombo ovela Oliver Wyman
Ukuziphendulela: Ulwazi oluchazwe ngasentla lunikezelwa ngu-Oliver Wyman ngokuzimeleyo kwe-Cooig.com. I-Cooig.com ayenzi lumelo kunye neziqinisekiso malunga nomgangatho kunye nokuthembeka komthengisi kunye neemveliso.
